Through a foggy windshield, not a rearview mirror
September 16, 2025 12:02 AM Subscribe
This impulse is not limited to moments of national trauma. It is the default setting for how we navigate the world. Our contemporary culture favors other, more seemingly certain ways of knowing: the parsimonious models of economics, the predictive ambitions of political science, the data-driven certainty of algorithms. We are conditioned to seek simple causes, generalizable rules and clear, predictable outcomes. Yet in the realms of statecraft, strategy and societal decision-making, this craving for certainty is a dangerous vulnerability. from The Lost Art Of Thinking Historically [Noema]
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